By SABC Sport
21st November 2023
You probably also know a lot of the details and internals of your favorite teams. But is that enough to make money with football bets?
Unfortunately no! Football bets are the most popular sports bets and are therefore extremely competitive.
In order to be successful in the long term with football betting at Non GamStop betting sites, you need a well-thought-out strategy.
Over time, inexperienced and experienced players should get an idea of their gaming behavior, i.e. how they behave in different game situations without being aware of it - and how they could perhaps behave better and more sensibly.
The Basics of Non GamStop Betting Sites
Before placing a football bet, you must first understand the basics. These are the things that everyone needs to have on their radar.
The most obvious thing might be a team's current form. But if you don't just look at the previous results of both teams before a match, but dig a little deeper, you will find that, for example, one team is in good shape despite a defeat and only lost in the previous game due to bad luck or a bad decision. Read the match reports and get a detailed overview.
Is a team getting better and better or is it slowly fading? Are individual players not yet 100% fit again after injuries? Is the team fulfilling its potential? Test your findings with the next games!
Football Betting Basics at Non GamStop Bookmakers
You should look at the teams' home and away records. Home teams typically enjoy an advantage of 0.4 to 0.6 goals per game.
However, this can vary greatly in individual cases. The style of play of some teams gives them an advantage away from home, for example some teams are more interested in defending and counter-attacking quickly. But at home you have to play the game yourself and that causes problems.
Other teams, on the other hand, thrive on being cheered on by their own spectators and play combative and dynamic football at home. The enthusiasm of the home crowd gives these teams additional motivation. Such facts can be crucial to your betting strategy.
The results of the two teams' last games should also not be underestimated. What happened at the last meeting? Did a team always appear superior?
However, you shouldn't look too much into the past when making these analyses. Players and especially coaches are constantly being replaced and a team can change a lot in just a few years!
Analysis of the last clashes can give you a good insight into the tactical orientation of both teams in a direct duel and how this could affect the upcoming game.
You should also collect as much 'inside information' as possible. Did a key player appear noticeably listless during the training week, or is his movement not yet smooth after an injury? Was there a confrontation between two players or between a player and the coach - and does the culprit have to sit in the stands at the weekend? Are some of the team infected with a flu virus? These are all things you should find out.
Footballers are only people and not machines. Overuse of sports or problems in private life can also have a major impact on a player's performance, reduce motivation and thus affect the entire team.
Value of Football Bets at Non GamStop Bookmakers
In addition to these basic things, you should understand a special phenomenon in all sports betting which is the 'value'. We will always use the technical term value here and in the following, because the word 'value' does not help clarify the matter here.
Finding a bet with good value means: Based on certain information, you believe that individual bookmaker odds are too high or too low. This means that you estimate the actual value of a particular bet higher or lower.
All odds express the probability of certain outcomes. Therefore, assessing the value of a bet is about determining or otherwise assessing the probability of a particular outcome occurring. This assessment can turn out to be right or wrong - so it is a completely subjective value.
Assume Chelsea's odds to win against Barcelona are 4.0. This corresponds to a 25% chance of winning. If you think Chelsea's chances are closer to 33% and should therefore be 3.0 odds, then you have found a bet with good value.
You rate Chelsea's chances of winning higher than the non GamStop bookmaker, so you can benefit from his 4.0 odds because you yourself consider 3.0 odds to be more realistic.
Of course, only if your assessment of Chelsea's chances is correct. How you assess opportunities is entirely up to you.
It is therefore important to understand that a successful bettor looks not just for winners and losers, but for bets with the best value. These insights and your path there will be incorporated into your personal strategy.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals at Non GamStop Bookmakers
The Over/Under -2.5 goals bet is one of the most popular football bets at Non GamStop betting sites.
With this bet you have to weigh up whether there will be more or fewer than 2.5 goals in a game. There are a few strategies to use this bet as profitably as possible.
You should look at the average goals scored by both teams to predict how many goals over 2.5 will be scored when both teams meet. The value of 2.5 goals, which may seem strange to you, was chosen so that your tip is clearly over or under because you can only bet on whole goals. In this way, ties (draws) are to be avoided.
Take a look at both teams' previous games. How many games you want to watch depends on your patience.
A larger number of games may allow a deeper insight. However, any changes in tactics and player form curves are not taken into account.
A smaller number of games, on the other hand, can be heavily influenced by one or two outliers.
In addition to counting the goals scored, count how many times more or less than 2.5 goals were scored in the two teams' games.